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Averaging Up
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  • Mental Models
  • The Infinite Investor
    • Preface & Table of Contents
    • Chapter I: The Lie of the Average
    • Chapter II: Ergodicity and Behavior
    • Chapter III: The Foundation
    • Chapter IV: The Four Buckets
    • Chapter V: The Lenses
    • Chapter VI: The Selection Process
    • Chapter VII: The Exceptions
    • Conclusion: From Finite to Infinite
Averaging Up

Category: Inflation

The Gap, the Gift, and the Guarantee – What You Actually Buy When You Buy a Great Business

Posted on June 6, 2026June 7, 2026

“Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.” — Warren Buffett Listen to the deep-dive discussion – The Gap the Gift and the Guarantee   Download the Slide Deck (PDF): The_Financial_Architecture I. The Floor The traditional approach to valuation projects growth—estimates future cash flows, discounts them at a rate that blends the risk-free…

$190 Billion to Grow – What the AI Race Reveals About the Cost of the B

Posted on June 2, 2026June 7, 2026

“For the investor, a too-high purchase price for the stock of an excellent company can undo the effects of a subsequent decade of favorable business developments.” — Warren Buffett Listen to the deep-dive discussion – Why Alphabet dilutes shareholders for AI   Download the Slide Deck (PDF) : The_Growth_Ledger_Averagingup I. The Headline On June 1st,…

Three Layers, Zero Cost – The Geometry of Compounding

Posted on May 30, 2026June 7, 2026

“Give me a lever long enough and a fulcrum on which to place it, and I shall move the world.” — Archimedes, 3rd century BC   Listen to the deep-dive discussion – How Freesurfers Multiply Profits For Free   Download the Slide Deck (PDF): Geometric_Compounding_AveragingUp I. What Hohn Sees In a rare interview, Chris Hohn—TCI…

Cheap Money Hides Impurity – Why Rising Yields Reveal the Gradient

Posted on May 26, 2026June 5, 2026

“Only when the tide goes out do you discover who’s been swimming naked.” — Warren Buffett Listen to the deep-dive discussion – Cheap Money Hides Impurity (20:11 min)   Download the Slide Deck (PDF) The_Yield_Gradient I. The Tide Goes Out The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield has reached 5.19%—its highest level in nearly two decades. The last…

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