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Averaging Up
  • Home
  • About
  • Mental Models
  • The Infinite Investor
    • Preface & Table of Contents
    • Chapter I: The Lie of the Average
    • Chapter II: Ergodicity and Behavior
    • Chapter III: The Foundation
    • Chapter IV: The Four Buckets
    • Chapter V: The Lenses
    • Chapter VI: The Selection Process
    • Chapter VII: The Exceptions
    • Conclusion: From Finite to Infinite
Averaging Up

Month: August 2026

How Long Capital Lasts, and How Hard It Works – Why a Business Can Keep Growing and Still Have Nowhere to Put Its Money

Posted on August 21, 2026

The average annual amount of capitalized expenditures that the business requires to fully maintain its long-term competitive position and its unit volume… must be a guess — and one sometimes very difficult to make. — Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway shareholder letter, 1986   Download the Slides Deck: Capital_Longevity_and_Reinvestment  Listen to the deep-dive discussion – Why…

How Much of the Spending Actually Compounds : We Went Looking for Hidden Capital. We Found Something Else.

Posted on August 13, 2026

Thus our first lesson: businesses logically are worth far more than net tangible assets when they can be expected to produce earnings on such assets considerably in excess of market rates of return. The capitalized value of this excess return is economic Goodwill. — Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway shareholder letter, 1983   Download the Slides…

Why Every Compounder Reaches a Crossroads – What Success Does to a Business

Posted on August 7, 2026

If something cannot go on forever, it will stop. — Herbert Stein, former Chairman, U.S. Council of Economic Advisers   Download the Slides Deck: The_Compounder_Crossroads  Listen to the deep-dive discussion – The internal physics of business compounding   I. The Same Label on Different Businesses Coca-Cola and PepsiCo sell drinks to the same world, ride…

The Stock You Can Sleep On: The Toll Whose Growth Is Free — and Asks No Decision

Posted on August 1, 2026

“I have to be able to sleep at night. It has to be sufficiently obvious… because what kills you as an investor is permanent loss of capital.” — Sir Chris Hohn, TCI Fund Management   Download the Slides Deck: THE_FREESURFER  Listen to the deep-dive discussion –How Freesurfer stocks capture free growth   I. The Investor…

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