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Averaging Up
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  • Mental Models
  • The Infinite Investor
    • Preface & Table of Contents
    • Chapter I: The Lie of the Average
    • Chapter II: Ergodicity and Behavior
    • Chapter III: The Foundation
    • Chapter IV: The Four Buckets
    • Chapter V: The Lenses
    • Chapter VI: The Selection Process
Averaging Up

Month: June 2023

Share Buybacks, Dividends and Optimal Capital Allocation

Posted on June 28, 2023July 2, 2023

A company repurchasing its own shares may suggest that it is no longer able to reinvest its excess cash at high rates of return. Take IBM in the past ten years. Its share repurchase program, even at a so-called “deep discount”, was not necessarily welcomed as it was perceived as potentially impeding innovation and long…

Growth and Multiple Expansion: the “Twin Engines” of 100-Baggers

Posted on June 7, 2023January 4, 2025

Stock price rises over time based on the quality of earnings and on how long those earnings can be reinvested at high rates of return. A business generating consistent high ROE and growth in revenue and book value compounds its re-invested earnings at a rate of return at least equal to its ROE, assuming no…

Great Businesses Compound Earnings At High Rates

Posted on June 2, 2023July 2, 2023

GREAT BUSINESSES COMPOUND THEIR EARNINGS AT HIGH RATES The characteristics which growth stocks enjoy were studied by security analyst Thomas Phelps in a book published in 1972 entitled 100 to 1 in the Stock Market. $10,000 compounding at 26% for 20 years turns into $1,000,000. How high the price of a stock rises over time…

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